Housing market's gonna crash

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  • motorhead43026
    motorhead43026 Posts: 4,115
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    My home is the smallest investment I have. But you have to live somewhere.

    And it’s paid for.
    Since we don’t know where we are going we have to stick together in case someone gets there….Ken Kesey.

    Idolizing a politician is like believing the stripper REALLY likes you.

    And the boots you lick will stomp you too.
  • Jstas
    Jstas Posts: 15,018
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    billbillw wrote: »
    That's pretty much what I said, but you added almost 1000 words. :p

    As usual, though, it wasn't clear to me that you grasped what I was talking about so I tried a deeper explanation in the hopes that you would comprehend it the second time around.
    WilliamM2 wrote: »
    billbillw wrote: »
    That's pretty much what I said, but you added almost 1000 words. :p

    Over 2000 words. And you never mentioned predicting the future for investments.

    Meanwhile, I'm in an area where house prices continue to go up, just like they did in the last housing "crash".

    And pot shots from the cheap seats from a guy who clearly didn't read any of it. Otherwise, you would have seen that I was using the Nvidia story as an example of riding out the long game. It was not a future prediction at all. In all honesty, it was dumb luck. The story is actually true only the timeline is different. The guy bought Nvidia stock in 2001. He bought it because his dad's graduation gift to him was $25K and he had to invest it. At the time, Nvidia was about $2 a share. He bought 5,000 shares because it was on track to double that in 5 years. The only reason he wanted to buy it was because he liked Nvidia better than ATi. So he wanted the nerd cred to be able to say he owned Nvidia. Seriously. That was why. That's like your wife winning a football pool because she liked the colors of the team she chose and they just happened to go all the way. He never sold it, he just let it ride. 5K shares turned to 20K then to 200K. They are worth over $22M now. He has enough shares in Nvidia to be a voting shareholder and he has a portfolio worth 9 figures over all from all the stocks he bought with that $25K in 2001. He doesn't "day trade" or short anything either. He makes investments in stocks showing steady growth and then sits on them for years.

    And your house's value doesn't matter a hill of beans unless you sell. Housing market prices affect those who own more than one property or those who are making a move. The housing market taking a dive, nationwide, hurts everyone even those whose "house prices continue to go up, just like they did in the last housing "crash"." and those who don't even own a house.

    Which is the point of this thread. Not to gloat about anyone's wealth or house values. It's a discussion on the volatility of the housing market since about 2015 and where the pandemic bubble is heading.

    If your house went up in value, good for you. Mine didn't and it hurt for a couple years there.
    Expert Moron Extraordinaire

    You're just jealous 'cause the voices don't talk to you!
  • sucks2beme
    sucks2beme Posts: 5,703
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    Got an insult offer in today's mail. About 100k lower than some I got
    Last year. There isn't a house in the area selling for that low a price.
    Clearly these guys are just bargain hunting now.
    "The legitimate powers of government extend to such acts only as are injurious to others. But it does me no injury for my neighbour to say there are twenty gods, or no god. It neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg." --Thomas Jefferson
  • bcwsrt
    bcwsrt Posts: 2,687
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    I get those about once a week on the property I bought to build on in TN. But, once, not too long ago, the offer came in almost 50% more than I paid for it five years ago! Got me thinkin’ about letting it go … for a few minute, anyway!

    Brian

  • WilliamM2
    WilliamM2 Posts: 4,816
    edited March 2025
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    Jstas wrote: »
    If your house went up in value, good for you. Mine didn't and it hurt for a couple years there.

    Why, were you selling?
    It wasn't a pot shot either, or wealth bragging, just a point of reference. My house is actually reasonable for this area, but I couldn't afford it today...or 10 years ago.

    I did own nvidia stock in the early 2000's because I was a fan. $2.00? It was $0.54 a share in 2002 when I bought it, when I sold in 2006 it was about $0.38 a share. It did not double in 5 years, it didn't hit $1.00 until 2016. I remember it dropping to $0.10 while I owned it.
    No one could predict crypto mining would become profitable, or the AI boom that would come 20 years later. Neat story though, I wish I had kept mine.

  • billbillw
    billbillw Posts: 8,249
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    Jstas wrote: »
    billbillw wrote: »
    That's pretty much what I said, but you added almost 1000 words. :p

    As usual, though, it wasn't clear to me that you grasped what I was talking about so I tried a deeper explanation in the hopes that you would comprehend it the second time around.
    Seriously John? You think I need a deeper explaination? This place isn't a classroom for remedial economics. Most of us are pretty educated in these matters. I also prefer to do my own research from multiple independent sources. Oh yeah, I've also seen The Big Short multiple times 😅.
  • sucks2beme
    sucks2beme Posts: 5,703
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    I'm not moving anytime soon. My taxes are pretty darn low here.
    And unlike Dallas, water is cheap. And a lot less traffic. People
    move to Tennessee after selling those expensive houses in $$$
    areas with high property taxes and state income tax. Other than
    places like Nashville, things are pretty good. Climate isn't bad here
    either. Not 100 degrees all the time like Texas.
    "The legitimate powers of government extend to such acts only as are injurious to others. But it does me no injury for my neighbour to say there are twenty gods, or no god. It neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg." --Thomas Jefferson
  • Geoff4rfc
    Geoff4rfc Posts: 3,053
    edited April 2025
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    I'm fixin to take the plunge now for the second time. Owned a house in WA against my better judgement with my first ex......she said she dreamed of the house, I told her she needed better dreams but I bought it for her.

    Now, in SA, I've been offered a deal on the house I've been renting for the last 3 years. I dig it, on the edge of the city, north east area, 1586 sq ft 3bd 2full ba, top of a cul-de-sac, quiet neighborhood, the only one making noise is me :D perfect for me and a weekend wife.... fyi, the a/c and hotwater heater have been upgraded since I've lived here as well as the roof right before I moved in. An uncle of mine laid new carpet prior to the move in after the previous tenants moved out. It's going to be nice to stick my server rack in the office and re-rout the cables to everything.
    Marantz AV10-Emotiva ERC3-Denafrips Venus-Panasonic UB820-AudioQuest Power Quest 707-Emotiva DR3, DR2, XPA2, XPA6-Focal Kanta No2, Sopra Center-PolkAudio RTiA9, RTiA3, LSiM 702F/X-Epik Empire-SVS SB5000-11.3