Hurricane's direction is looking bad for me.

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  • billbillwbillbillw Posts: 5,833
    I think they are expecting this to be the worst in modern times for the Carolinas. Praying for all the folks down there.
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  • pitdogg2pitdogg2 Posts: 15,911
    tonyb wrote: »
    If this storm stalls when it hits land, they say it has the possibility to dump over 3 ft. of rain. That's like Houston rain, and look what it did to them.

    That's about 1/2 of what Houston received. IIRC it was like 60" in 2 days or something like that.
    Still get the heck out if the way folks. Life is too short for this stuff.
  • steveinazsteveinaz Posts: 19,313
    What would be the point of staying? get the hell out of dodge.
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  • gmcmangmcman Posts: 1,529
    edited September 2018
    steveinaz wrote: »
    What would be the point of staying? get the hell out of dodge.

    I agree. Pack all the important documents, pics, grab a few 5 gal gas cans, get some cash, and hit the road. Stay with friends, or hotel...whatever. I wouldn't wait to see exactly where it hits, then you're in gridlock traffic from waiting too long.

    Last thing you want to do is get stuck near the coast with no electricity to get gas, water, food, or use the ATM's.....if you can even use the roads.
  • Tony MTony M Posts: 8,899
    I would want to prevent further water damage if I could.

    I live in an older well built house. It's been through all the hurricanes that have hit here since 1952 when it was built.

    This house is on the highest ground in the county. So house or cottage flooding shouldn't happen. high water flows towards the back of my yard and then onto the street behind mine.

    If damage happens to any building here, I'd like to tarp it until we get electricity back.

    If I'm still alive, that is.
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  • Tony MTony M Posts: 8,899
    I'm glad we just had that Cedar tree cut down a couple of years ago!
    47q2xantwf70.png
    b57y0x5998re.png
    Most people just listen to music and watch movies. I EXPERIENCE them.
  • Tony M wrote: »
    I'm glad we just had that Cedar tree cut down a couple of years ago!
    47q2xantwf70.png
    b57y0x5998re.png

    Yikes! That tree could have put a damper on the weekend
  • steveinazsteveinaz Posts: 19,313
    Photograph everything you own, take only the priceless stuff with you, and if you plan to stay, write your SSN on your arm with a sharpy so they can identify your body later.
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  • ClipdatClipdat Posts: 7,725
    Unnecessarily morbid, Steve.
  • steveinaz wrote: »
    Photograph everything you own, take only the priceless stuff with you, and if you plan to stay, write your SSN on your arm with a sharpy so they can identify your body later.

    What about identity theft. I'd only put the last 4.
  • Stay safe y’all
    Oh, Listen here mister. We got no way of understandin' this world. But we got as much sense of this bird flyin in the sky. Now there is a lot that bird don't know, but it don't change the fact that the world is happening to him all the same. What I am tryin to say is, is that the course of your life, well its changing, and you don't even see it- Forest Bondurant
  • tonybtonyb Posts: 32,183
    Isn't Russ's main warehouse in that path too ? Should have sent it all to Chicago....for safe keeping. :)
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  • tonyb wrote: »
    Isn't Russ's main warehouse in that path too ? Should have sent it all to Chicago....for safe keeping. :)

    Why, so it can be stashed away in TonyB's vault.ajhn1caixcf0.jpg
  • vcwatkinsvcwatkins Posts: 1,964
    We're staying put. In town, we're at 30ft, small basement if the winds kick up, no young children, elderly in-laws nearby to look after, all necessary tools and supplies.

    We've had a few direct eyewall hits and several close ones since moving here in '89; but none stronger than Cat3 at landfall. They've all weakened just prior to hitting. But this storm is very different moving west; so the pattern of sheering/disintegrating, turning northward, and moving out quickly doesn't look likely to happen here.

    I'm not very optimistic about the beach house. Hazel '54 was The Big One in this area. It was a Cat4 - winds at lower end of range but it was big, well organised, fast moving, with a big surge. It demolished and carried away many houses, but building standards are obviously much improved since then. Hazel's surge was 18' and our first floor is at 18'. The previous owner had to bulldoze 2-3' of sand out of the ground floor after Bertha/Fran Cat3. We do have two large dune ridges that weren't there at that time, but those can vanish in no time. Cat4 winds, if they hit, will be extremely destructive. We are less than a mile from the river :# The majority of that (Sunny Point) buffer zone is forested. Still, I would guess Cape Fear flooding, heavy rainfall, and backside winds could combine for catastrophic flooding.

    Since buying the beach house in '01, we've been very lucky (Nor'easters have been far worse). My hope is that the forecast path, putting us southwest of the eyewall, holds. That would make a huge difference wrt wind and surge. Fingers crossed, bourbon poured. Well, soon to be poured.

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    hazel-KureBeach-surge-390.jpg
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  • tonybtonyb Posts: 32,183
    krazypolk wrote: »
    tonyb wrote: »
    Isn't Russ's main warehouse in that path too ? Should have sent it all to Chicago....for safe keeping. :)

    Why, so it can be stashed away in TonyB's vault.ajhn1caixcf0.jpg

    Fairly accurate depiction...what's the problem with that ? :)
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  • ClipdatClipdat Posts: 7,725
    "The government's top emergency response official, Federal Emergency Management Agency head Brock Long, told reporters that residents in the areas likely to be affected should not under-estimate the threat from the hurricane.

    "This has an opportunity of being a very devastating storm," Long said. "The power is going to be off for weeks. You are going to be displaced from your home in the coastal areas, and there will be flooding in the inland areas as well.

    "These are going to be state-wide events; the hazards will be state-wide," he added."
  • pitdogg2pitdogg2 Posts: 15,911
    edited September 2018
    krazypolk wrote: »
    steveinaz wrote: »
    Photograph everything you own, take only the priceless stuff with you, and if you plan to stay, write your SSN on your arm with a sharpy so they can identify your body later.

    What about identity theft. I'd only put the last 4.

    I think once they find you and use the number to identify you all worries of identity theft are a moot point. If you are in the path and worry about identity theft then use your drivers license number.

    I worked at Furrow building materials when Hugo hit out there, you couldn't buy plywood for months here in Illinois. When it did come back it was 10x the price before Hugo. It was about 3yrs before it stabilized.
    Post edited by pitdogg2 on
  • lightman1lightman1 Posts: 10,605
    The Warehouse is about four hours inland. Hugo did hit that far in. But that was a wicked storm.
  • steveinazsteveinaz Posts: 19,313
    Shark-a-cane?
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  • stretchlstretchl Posts: 1,319
    edited September 2018
    I covered the aftermath of Katrina, and I can tell you from seeing that damage up close that these storms are nothing to be trifled with.

    Entire neighborhoods, very very expensive houses, were swept right off their foundations by the storm surge. Nothing was left save for the slabs of concrete they had previously stood on.

    I spent a couple of days and a night with a family that was still living off the grid 10 days after the storm.

    Wishing you and your family the best.
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  • voltzvoltz Posts: 5,361
    hope and prayers for all of you in the path! Stay Safe and do what you have to! Hope it all works out safely for you!
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  • vmaxervmaxer Posts: 4,628
    By all means, be safe.
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  • EndersShadowEndersShadow Posts: 17,048
    edited September 2018
    @vcwatkins:

    Be safe bro! Would suck to have you get hit. Either your primary or your beach house. Put your gear on the second floor or in your attic!

    @Tony M

    Stay safe yourself too bro!
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  • Tony MTony M Posts: 8,899
    edited September 2018
    Here's a link to a flood map for a Cat. 3 hurricane estimate from data. I just posted and I see if you agree, it lets you view our city and county and the beaches too. It's pretty cool, but not for the coastal or inlet property owners.
    I couldn't copy the picture of the map like I wanted too. :#
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  • steveinazsteveinaz Posts: 19,313
    edited September 2018
    The LARGER issue is UNDERSTANDING there will be NO services available, possibly for weeks. You better have a huge amount of food, water, a generator, lots of fuel, and plenty of any medications you take. BTW, a gen has to be run outdoors, so I don't know how you do that with water everywhere.
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  • Tony MTony M Posts: 8,899
    If survival food gets low, the roads should be open by then and we'll drive to another city. I'm talking 7 days, but we've found if the power does go out, which it should. The next day or three, the electrical emergency responders ( God Bless Them All) will be putting hospitals back up ASAP. My house is on that grid with a Hospital just a mile down the road. Now if fallen trees have blocked my street, I hope my neighbors have gas chain saws to cut our way out. I have an electric one. :#
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  • StevieBStevieB Posts: 249
    Been through a bunch in Florida. Problem with leaving is, if you don't already have a motel room locked down, be ready to drive to Atlanta.
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